Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000120 0.000128 0.000136 0.000145 0.000155 0.000166 0.000179
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000118 0.000130 0.000144 0.000161 0.000180 0.000205
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000113 0.000127 0.000145 0.000167 0.000195 0.000233
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000096 0.000110 0.000126 0.000148 0.000176 0.000213 0.000266
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000103 0.000121 0.000144 0.000176 0.000218 0.000284
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000097 0.000115 0.000138 0.000172 0.000218 0.000293
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000092 0.000110 0.000134 0.000169 0.000220 0.000304
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000086 0.000104 0.000128 0.000163 0.000214 0.000303
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000085 0.000103 0.000129 0.000167 0.000225 0.000332
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000084 0.000103 0.000131 0.000174 0.000241 0.000371
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000084 0.000104 0.000133 0.000180 0.000256 0.000414
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000085 0.000106 0.000139 0.000193 0.000285 0.000491
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000082 0.000104 0.000138 0.000194 0.000295 0.000533
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000080 0.000102 0.000136 0.000194 0.000302 0.000574
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000078 0.000100 0.000136 0.000199 0.000319 0.000645
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000078 0.000101 0.000139 0.000207 0.000345 0.000760
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000075 0.000098 0.000136 0.000204 0.000347 0.000801
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000072 0.000094 0.000131 0.000198 0.000339 0.000802
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000069 0.000091 0.000127 0.000194 0.000336 0.000821
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000066 0.000086 0.000121 0.000185 0.000321 0.000787
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000065 0.000086 0.000122 0.000189 0.000339 0.000897
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000065 0.000087 0.000124 0.000196 0.000366 0.001078
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000065 0.000087 0.000126 0.000203 0.000393 0.001299